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A new estimation approach for AR models in presence of noise

Authors:Diversi Roberto, University of Bologna, Italy
Soverini Umberto, University of Bologna, Italy
Guidorzi Roberto, University of Bologna, Italy
Topic:1.1 Modelling, Identification & Signal Processing
Session:Time Series Modelling
Keywords: System identification, parameter estimation, autoregressive models

Abstract

This paper considers the problem of estimating the parameters of an autoregressive (AR) process inpresence of additive white noise and proposes a new identification method, based on theoretical results originally developed in errors-in-variables contexts.This approach allows to estimate the AR parameters, the driving noise variance and the variance of the additive noise in a congruent way, i.e. these estimates assure the positive definiteness of the autocorrelation matrix. The performance of the proposed algorithm is compared with that of bias-compensated least-squares methods by means fo Monte Carlo simulations.The results show the effectivenesss of this method also in presence of high amounts of noise.