Systems approach for the estimation and management of sustainable development
Special Symposium - Environmental Protection & Sustainability
Environmental Protection & Sustainability - III
Keywords: sustainable development, sustainable development management
Progress in the paradigm of sustainable development comprehension has passed into a phase of practical management of this process. However, the practice of sustainable development management has revealed a number of essential restrictions. Along with social and organizational restrictions, the increasing weight gets the restriction connected with limited opportunities of the person to make concrete decisions in concrete circumstances. Presence of indicator set sharply reduces the efficiency of the optimum decision search. The aggregation of indicators often results to the loss of physical sense of the decision and here, the decomposition of an index up to concrete parameters is required.
Formalistic approaches in the realization of information aspects of sustainable development have blacked out the main idea of sustainable development process which can be transformed in such way: operating with sustainable development, it is necessary to support a level of a stocks of natural wealth accumulated by the nature for the future generations, using thus, the great opportunities of natural mechanisms – the work of ecosystem. This implies first of all, necessity for the stocks measurement of nature and the dynamics of stocks expenditure (the theory of the natural capital). Secondly, there is a requirement for quantitative estimation of the restoring potential of ecosystem, included into a cycle of restoration (updating) of natural resources.
The consideration of society processes in the form of cycles « use-restoration of resources » opens for us the prospect of model construction. This model is approximate, but ideologically correct for natural resources "circulation" in certain subsystem. Here, the opportunity exists manage to build an index of sustainable development by means of which it is possible to manage of sustainable development process. In this paper, it is offered to construct for such model some coefficient η, in the form of ratio for sum of resources and target product streams to the sum of the streams restoring the nature stocks. It is evident, that at the calculated estimation η > 1, the system will be unstable from the point of view of its potential preservation (consumption of natural resources is going more intensively, than their restoration); for η = 1, the system is on the border of sustainability; for η <1, the system is sustainable one (restoration of resources of the nature goes with advancing rate). It is obvious, that all political decisions at levels of appropriate hierarchy should be those to achieve value η ≤1, as both due to decreasing of resource expenditure and modernization of product technology, and to increasing of costs for the restoration and supplement of resources. The coefficient offered possesses of necessary integrity, principal aggregation and the certain independence from the level of system hierarchy. All this promotes its successful application for the purposes of management.
The measurement of natural parameters is presented the definite complexity. In spite of fact, that the part of this data exists physically (for example, stocks of natural resources are estimated even by the market prices), many natural parameters, nevertheless, are disseminated at various departments and hard accessible. And to such parameters of the natural capital as, for example, « to take aesthetic pleasure in nature » hardly somebody knows how it is quite beyond somebody means. Here, we have the great hopes with introduction in action of the World Center of Data in NTUU «KPI». There is a real opportunity of construction of methodological and analytical blocks for sustainable the progress, which will be called to estimate development of various subsystems of a society from positions of sustainability.
Presented Monday 17, 15:40 to 16:00, in session Environmental Protection & Sustainability - III (S-7C).
